Methods | Cases | Non-cases | Total | Sensitivity* | Specificity* | Positivity†| Youden | PPV | NPV | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
%(95%CI) | P | %(95%CI) | P | %(95%CI) | P | % | %(95%CI) | %(95%CI) | ||||
Traditional strategy 1 (positive screen defined as only any positive TVU) | ||||||||||||
 Positive | 139 | 13,720 | 13,859 | 55.6 (49.2–61.8) | Ref. | 51.4 (50.8–51.9) | Ref. | 48.7 (48.1–49.3) | Ref. | 7.0 | 1.0 (0.85–1.19) | 99.2 (99.1–99.4) |
 Negative | 111 | 14,486 | 14,597 |  |  |  | ||||||
 Total | 250 | 28,206 | 28,456 |  |  |  | ||||||
Traditional strategy 2 (positive screen defined as any positive TVU and CA125 above diagnostic criteria) | ||||||||||||
 Positive | 152 | 14,074 | 14,226 | 60.8 (54.4–66.8) | < 0.001 | 50.1 (49.5–50.7) | < 0.001 | 50.0 (49.4–50.6) | < 0.001 | 10.9 | 1.1 (0.91–1.25) | 99.3 (99.2–99.4) |
 Negative | 98 | 14,132 | 14,230 |  |  |  | ||||||
 Total | 250 | 28,206 | 28,456 |  |  |  | ||||||
Optimized strategy 1 (positive screen defined as any positive TVU and CA125 above optimal cut-off value) | ||||||||||||
 Positive | 199 | 19,133 | 19,332 | 79.6 (74.0-84.3) | < 0.001 | 32.2 (31.6–32.7) | < 0.001 | 67.9 (67.4–68.5) | < 0.001 | 11.8 | 1.0 (0.89–1.18) | 99.4 (99.3–99.6) |
 Negative | 51 | 9073 | 9124 |  |  |  | ||||||
 Total | 250 | 28,206 | 28,456 |  |  |  | ||||||
Optimized strategy 2 (based on strategy 1 and excluding CA125LP as positive screen) | ||||||||||||
 Positive | 190 | 17,402 | 17,592 | 76.0 (70.1–81.1) | < 0.001 | 38.3 (37.7–38.9) | < 0.001 | 61.8 (61.3–62.4) | < 0.001 | 14.3 | 1.1 (0.93–1.25) | 99.4 (99.3–99.6) |
 Negative | 60 | 10,804 | 10,864 |  |  |  | ||||||
 Total | 250 | 28,206 | 28,456 |  |  |  | ||||||
Optimized strategy 3 (based on strategy 2 and excluding negative RelVel in either CA125SP or CA125GP as positive screen) | ||||||||||||
 Positive | 161 | 14,447 | 14,608 | 64.4 (58.1–70.3) | < 0.001 | 48.8 (48.2–49.4) | < 0.001 | 51.3 (50.8–51.9) | < 0.001 | 13.2 | 1.1 (0.94–1.29) | 99.4 (99.2–99.5) |
 Negative | 89 | 13,759 | 13,848 |  |  |  | ||||||
 Total | 250 | 28,206 | 28,456 |  |  |  |